Diego Daruich

Assistant Professor of Finance and Business Economics at the University of Southern California, Marshall School of Business.

My research is in macroeconomics and labor economics, with a particular interest in human capital, education, and labor market policies.

USC Marshall, New York University, CEMFI, Universidad Torcuato di Tella

Publications

The Macroeconomic Consequences of Early Childhood Development Policies

Journal of Political Economy, 2026

Abstract

A general-equilibrium heterogeneous-agent model with parental investment in children is used to evaluate early childhood development policies. Accounting for the equilibrium response of wages, taxes, and parental behavior substantially changes the measured returns to such interventions relative to partial-equilibrium estimates.

An Equilibrium Analysis of the Effects of Neighborhood-based Interventions on Children

American Economic Review, 2025 · with Eric Chyn

Abstract

Moving children to better neighborhoods raises their long-run outcomes, but scaling such programs changes neighborhood composition, house prices, and school quality. We build a spatial equilibrium model with intergenerational human capital to quantify how large-scale neighborhood interventions differ from their small-scale experimental counterparts.

Universal Basic Income: A Dynamic Assessment

American Economic Review, 2024 · with Raquel Fernández

Abstract

We evaluate universal basic income in a general-equilibrium life-cycle model with intergenerational linkages, endogenous education, and labor supply. Short-run welfare gains are very different from long-run ones once human capital accumulation and the tax burden required to finance the transfer are taken into account.

The Effects of Partial Employment Protection Reforms: Evidence from Italy

Review of Economic Studies, 2023 · with Sabrina Di Addario and Raffaele Saggio

Abstract

Using Italian administrative matched employer-employee data and a reform that liberalized temporary contracts, we study how partial employment protection reform reshapes hiring, worker turnover, and the allocation of workers across firms.

Macroeconomic Implications of Uniform Pricing

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2023 · with Julian Kozlowski

Abstract

Retail chains charge nearly identical prices across stores in very different local markets. We study the aggregate consequences of this uniform pricing practice for the transmission of local shocks, regional real income differences, and the pass-through of costs to consumers.

Explaining Intergenerational Mobility: The Role of Fertility and Family Transfers

Review of Economic Dynamics, 2020 · with Julian Kozlowski

Abstract

Differential fertility and inter-vivos transfers are quantitatively important for intergenerational income persistence. We discipline a life-cycle model with family decisions to assess how much of observed mobility each channel accounts for.

The Surprising Instability of Export Specializations

Journal of Development Economics, 2019 · with William Easterly and Ariell Reshef

Abstract

Countries' top export products turn over far more often than standard theories of comparative advantage would predict. We document the extent of this churning and show that big export successes are largely unpredictable from prior specialization patterns.

Working Papers

The Macroeconomics of Intergenerational Mental Health Dynamics

with Boaz Abramson, Job Boerma and Aleh Tsyvinski

Abstract

Child mental health is transmitted across generations and interacts with parental resources and investment. We build and estimate a macroeconomic model of these dynamics to quantify their aggregate and distributional consequences, and to evaluate treatment policies.

The Consequences of Domestic Outsourcing: Evidence from Italian Administrative Data

with Martino Kuntze, Pascuel Plotkin and Raffaele Saggio

Abstract

Using Italian matched employer-employee records, we trace workers whose jobs are outsourced to service providers and measure the resulting effects on wages, job stability, and firm-level pay policies.

Zoning Out Opportunities: The Intergenerational Impact of Housing Supply Restrictions

Abstract

Housing supply restrictions price lower-income families out of high-opportunity neighborhoods. I quantify how much of the intergenerational persistence of income can be attributed to zoning, and what relaxing it would do to children's long-run outcomes.

Work in Progress

Inequality Dynamics: A Life-Cycle Portfolio Model Perspective

with Julian Kozlowski

Does It Matter Why Parents Care? Altruism, Warm Glow, and Policy Evaluation

with Anson Zhou

Selected Discussions

Older Research

Productivity Losses from Attention to Aggregate Uncertainty

Revised and extended version of the master's thesis presented at CEMFI.

Tato Bores, an Argentine comedian, explains the idea in 1964 (in Spanish).